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Bitcoins Mining-Schwierigkeit hat gerade ein Rekordhoch über 20,6 Billionen erreicht, da mehr Leute in größerem Umfang als je zuvor minen, dank der steigenden Mining-Einnahmen und der parabolischen Preisrallye von Bitcoin.

„Ein neues Schwierigkeits-Allzeithoch ist keine Überraschung, wenn man bedenkt, dass sich die Mining-Einnahmen in den letzten Monaten verdreifacht haben“, sagte Edward Evenson, Leiter der Geschäftsentwicklung bei Braiins, einer Mining-Software-Firma, die vor kurzem das volle Eigentum an dem führenden Pool Slush Pool erworben hat, nachdem sie seit 2013 mehrheitlich daran beteiligt war.

Samstag Anpassung an Block 665,280 markiert eine 11% Erhöhung von der letzten Anpassung am Dec. 27.

Die Schwierigkeit ist ein relatives Maß für die Menge an Ressourcen, die benötigt werden, um Bitcoin Future (BTC, -11,2%) zu minen, die je nach der Menge an Rechenleistung, die das Netzwerk verbraucht, steigt oder fällt, bekannt als seine Hashrate.

Da der Bitcoin-Preis weiter steigt – am Freitag erreichte er fast $42.000 – halten die Einnahmen der Miner Schritt, was noch mehr Teilnehmer zum Mining anregt. Vor zwölf Monaten lag die Schwierigkeit von bitcoin unter 15 Billionen.

„Ich sehe, dass sich dieser Trend in der ersten Hälfte des Jahres 2021 fortsetzt“, sagte Evenson gegenüber CoinDesk.

„Show me the money“

Als Zeichen dafür, dass die Schwierigkeit in Zukunft noch weiter nach oben korrigiert wird, planen die Mining-Unternehmen, von den höheren Umsätzen zu profitieren, und zwar in einem solchen Ausmaß, dass die Bestellungen für neue Maschinen dazu geführt haben, dass führende Hersteller wie Bitmain bis August ausverkauft sind, selbst nachdem sie den Preis für einige Modelle fast verdoppelt haben.

„ASIC-Hersteller mussten allein im vierten Quartal 2020 mehr als eine halbe Milliarde Dollar an Bestellungen für Mining-Equipment abweisen“, sagte Evenson. „Die Hardware-Lieferketten sind derzeit durch die immense Nachfrage überlastet.“

Unternehmen wie Core Scientific tragen mit massiven 59.000-Maschinen-Bestellungen von Bitmain, die ihre Mining-Kapazität verdreifachen sollen, zu dieser Überlastung bei.

Öffentlich gehandelte Mining-Firmen wie Riot Blockchain (RIOT) und Marathon Patent Group (MARA) haben ähnliche Vorbestellungen für 31.000 bzw. 90.000 Maschinen bis 2020 aufgegeben.

Basierend auf der anhaltenden Mining-Raserei wird sich die Bitcoin-Hashrate „wahrscheinlich im Jahr 2021 mindestens verdoppeln“, prognostiziert Evenson.

Ein großes Mining-Problem

Die aktuelle ASIC-Knappheit ist mehr als nur eine Unannehmlichkeit, sie signalisiert eine tiefere fundamentale Schwäche des Mining-Sektors inmitten steigender Einnahmen und Aktivitäten.

„Im Moment ist die ASIC-Knappheit das größte Risiko für das Mining-Geschäft“, sagte Steve Barbour, Präsident des Herstellers für mobile Mining-Infrastruktur Upstream Data, in einer direkten Nachricht an CoinDesk.

Barbour sagte, er sehe „noch keine Anzeichen“ dafür, dass die Hersteller „schnell genug hochfahren“, um den noch ungebremsten Anstieg der Nachfrage nach Maschinen zu befriedigen. Sie verfolgen nicht einmal temporäre Lösungen wie das Angebot von Mid-Tier-Maschinen für „Bergleute, die nicht an hochpreisigen, hocheffizienten Geräten interessiert sind.“

Da es keine Anzeichen für einen Nachschub gibt, haben Bergleute die Sekundärmärkte nach verfügbaren und funktionierenden Maschinen durchforstet, was dazu führte, dass die Preise einiger Modelle 12-Monats-Höchststände erreichten, wie CoinDesk zuvor berichtete.

Das Miner-Herstellungsgeschäft „hat definitiv Platz für mehr diversifizierten Wettbewerb,“ Barbour sagte.

Recently Guggenheim registered with the SEC to buy $500 million in Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is falling, falling below support levels in the $33,000 area, demonstrating that the bull run may have lost strength for now. For Guggenheim Partners Head of Investment, Scott Minerd, we will have a correction up to $20,000. But some still believe that Minerd’s opinion may ultimately be an attempt at institutional manipulation.

In an interview with CNBC, Scott Minerd said he believes that Bitcoin Formula current high has reached its peak and that there will be a retraction to the $20,000 level, but not only that, for him, the currency will not rise above recent levels for at least a year.

„We have probably reached a top for Bitcoin for at least until next year“.

Minerd also justified the reason to believe that Bitcoin has lost its growth force for now and because the currency will fall to old resistance levels, explaining that whenever we have a price increase, as it happened during January 2021, we always have to expect a correction.

„When we have a movement that doubles the price of an asset in about a month, we are prone to a retraction“.

Scott Minerd is not one of the Bitcoin critics, in fact he, along with the Guggenheim, invested in Bitcoin when the currency was still in the $10,000 range. At the time, Scott even claimed that the real value of the Bitcoin should be $400,000 and that the currency would continue to increase.

So what changed between the bet of $ 400 thousand and the forecast that Bitcoin has already lost its strength to 2021? Well, many think that Scott Minerd may be a tool for institutional manipulation.

Can Scott Minerd’s opinion be manipulation?

It’s worth pointing out that, historically speaking, Minerd is not wrong, Bitcoin and any other asset, usually shrink in price as soon as we have such a meteoric high as the one we’ve followed recently.

But two things draw attention in Scott’s case. First of all, a month before he said that Bitcoin was going to fall, he was giving forecasts close to half a million dollars per currency.

And second, recently the Guggenheim made a registration with the SEC to buy $ 500 million in Bitcoin. For many investors, the strategy of the Bank and Scott is to use the FUD to bring down the price before they can buy Bitcoin at a much lower price than today.

Many have drawn attention to this detail in Minerd’s last interview. But in the announcement of a news story on the recent issue at Coindesk, many also speculated the same thing.

„He’s trying hard to bring down the price. This guy is everywhere trying to bring down the price, it’s comical“.

He’s trying so hard to get price down. The guy is on every show he can be to push price down it’s comicAl.

„This is the guy who recently said that the fair price of Bitcoin was US$ 400,000. Wall Street is always playing with us“.

This is the guy who recently said fair $BTC valuations were around $400,000 USD. Wall Street always playing non-stop mind games.

We even had some more debauched comments about the opinion of the Guggenheim CIO.

„Minerd also said that: ‚I’m saying this because I want the weak retailers to sell their Bitcoins to Guggenheim investors and my friends at the Yatch club.

Minerd also added „I say this because I want you weak ass retailer holders to sell your Bitcoin to Guggenheim investors and my yacht club pals.

Almost a year ago, the Austrian Financial Market Authority (FMA) introduced stricter crypto regulations. Now the tax authorities took stock.

It has been a year since the Austrian Financial Market Authority (FMA) took the crypto decision

At that time, the exchange regulator introduced stricter regulations for service providers of virtual currencies. Since then, Crypto Investor with business activities in Austria or from within the country have had to register with the financial market authority. The aim of the new provisions: the fight against money laundering and terrorist financing. On January 7, the tax authorities moved in a press release a first conclusion.

According to the FMA, since the regulation came into force, 40 providers have asked the exchange supervisory authority for approval. The request was granted to 18 companies. These are mainly companies that operate „electronic wallets and exchange platforms“. The board members of the tax authority, Helmut Ettl and Eduard Müller, said about the one-year existence of the new legislation:

The FMA pursues a clear zero tolerance approach in the area of ​​money laundering and terrorist financing. Aware of the risks associated with virtual currencies, we closed another gap in the previous year and introduced the registration requirement for companies that are active in this area.

Admission is based on certain criteria. This includes the size of the company, the business model offered with the associated risks of abuse through money laundering and terrorist financing as well as the principle of proportionality and the existence of a risk-based supervisory approach.

The aim is to adjust the size of the company and its business volume as well as the risk content of the service and the business model appropriately to the supervision intensity of the tax authority. In addition, while maintaining technology neutrality, potential risk factors are also to be identified and mitigated. This includes exploiting anonymity and hiding the source of the funds.

Financial authorities fail in the fight against money laundering

The FinCEN files that became known in September of last year make it clear that banks and financial authorities such as the FMA around the world have room for improvement when it comes to combating money laundering. The leak from the US Treasury Department is documents that prove that large financial institutions such as JPMorgan, HSBC, Barclays or Deutsche Bank moved large sums of money from criminals or other controversial people, even though they were actually on sanction lists. In total, almost two trillion US dollars are said to have been transferred. That is more than three times the market capitalization of Bitcoin.